Here’s another sign that Democrats are building a blue wave

Historic trends and current polling have shown that November’s midterm elections are very likely to be a blue wave, with Democrats favored to win control of the U.S. House, flip multiple gubernatorial mansions and state legislatures, and possibly even take back the Senate.

But there’s yet another bit of evidence that points to Democrats having a blockbuster election cycle: party registration trends.

For the third month in a row, Democrats gained more new voter registrants than Republicans, according to pollster John Couvillon, who has been tracking party registration data for years.

Couvillon found that Democrats added 83,000 new registrants in June, while Republicans added 64,000.

Democrats out-registering Republicans reverses what had been a bad trend for the party, as the Democratic Party had seen membership dwindle since 2020.

In fact, the Democratic voter registration slide was one of the early signs that the 2024 election was not going to go Democrats’ way. That year, according to Gallup, more people identified with Republicans than Democrats.

But now that trend is flipping.

Even more promising for Democrats is that new Democratic registrants are popping up in places that have competitive statewide contests.

For example in Nevada—where Democrats are trying to win back the governor’s mansion this fall—Democrats added 5,020 new voters in June while Republicans added 1,820.

In Iowa—where Democrats are looking to flip the governor’s mansion, a U.S. Senate seat, and as many as three U.S. House districts—Democrats added 25,245 new registrants in June while Republicans added 14,781.

A cartoon by Jack Ohman. — Jack Ohman/Tribune Content Agency

And in Nebraska—home to a sleeper Senate race and multiple competitive House contests—Democrats gained 559 voters in June while Republicans lost 126 registrants.

New registrations aren’t the only good bit of news for Democrats, either.

In the primary contests that have taken place so far, Democratic primaries saw larger turnout than Republican contests by a wide margin.

“This is perhaps the best sign for Democrats so far: they’re dominating primary turnout,” CNN analyst Harry Enten said on Tuesday, noting that Democratic primaries accounted for 57% of all ballots cast this cycle.

Enten added that this is a massive swing from 2022, when Democrats cast just 47% of the votes.

“In every midterm since at least 2006, the party with higher primary turnout won the House,” Enten said.

Of course, individual races may be challenging at the moment ::cough:: Maine’s Senate race ::cough::

But overall, the stars seem to be aligning for a Democratic wave. Let’s keep our foot on the gas.

We’ll get straight to the point: The financial hardships that Daily Kos is facing this year are tough.

We continue to be paywall-free. We continue to be supported by our readers, not billionaires or corporations. But we need to bring in more revenue. We are leaning on our community more than ever to help make ends meet.